<\/p>\n\n\n\n
2018 b\u00fcy\u00fck kur ata\u011f\u0131 sonras\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de yang\u0131n, ancak kura kar\u015f\u0131<\/strong>, \u201cfaiz silah\u0131\u201d<\/strong> ile durdurulabilmi\u015fti. Faizler 625 baz puan artt\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. B\u00f6ylece 13 A\u011fustos g\u00fcn\u00fc dolar\u0131n g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc 7,11\u20ba seviyelerinden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ba\u015flad\u0131. Beklentiler 10\u20ba, bir rivayete g\u00f6re 14\u20ba\u2019ye gelip dayanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. O g\u00fcnlerde bu r\u00fczgara kap\u0131l\u0131p 6\u20ba ve \u00fczerinden dolar toplayanlar, sat\u0131n ald\u0131klar\u0131 seviyeleri iki y\u0131l sonra daha yeni g\u00f6rd\u00fcler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Yakla\u015f\u0131k 10 ay boyunca da faizler %24 seviyesinde kald\u0131. Bu arada piyasalarda y\u00fcksek faizin etkisi g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc, y\u00fckselen kur ihracata yarad\u0131. D\u0131\u015f ticaret ithalat azalmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen ihracat lehine artmaya devam etti. Haliyle cari a\u00e7\u0131k \u00f6nce azald\u0131; sonra fazlaya bile d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Cari fazla<\/strong> konusu \u00fclke lehine d\u00f6nd\u00fc. \u00d6ncelikle d\u0131\u015f ticarette ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7eride ekonominin toparlanmas\u0131nda etkili oldu. Ekonominin toparlanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in bu 10 ayl\u0131k s\u00fcre yetti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n S\u0131ra faizlere gelmi\u015fti: 2019 son 6 ay\u0131nda faizler %24’ten %12’ye indi. Piyasada para d\u00f6nmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Bu da ekonomide canlanma demektir.. oldu. Harcamalar artar.. artt\u0131\u2026 Haliyle ekonomide b\u00fcy\u00fcme olmal\u0131yd\u0131.. oldu. 2019 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011findeki b\u00fcy\u00fcme %6 ile yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc d\u00fczelme sinyali verdi. Bu geli\u015fmeler \u00fclke lehine devam ederken petrol fiyatlar\u0131<\/strong>nda gerileme ba\u015flad\u0131. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Enerji<\/strong>, y\u00fczy\u0131llard\u0131r \u00fclkelerin hem ekonomik hem de sosyo-politik g\u00fcc\u00fcne y\u00f6n veren en \u00f6nemli etken. Bu g\u00fcc\u00fc ele ge\u00e7irmek i\u00e7in ne kavgalar verilmi\u015f.. ne krizler ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015f?… \u00c7ok farkl\u0131 stratejiler ile g\u00fc\u00e7 kullan\u0131larak da olsa bu yar\u0131\u015f hep devam etmi\u015f. Buna sebep \u015f\u00fcphesiz enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n co\u011frafi olarak \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda e\u015fit da\u011f\u0131lmamas\u0131 ve \u00f6zellikle g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcz sanayisinin buna duydu\u011fu ihtiya\u00e7t\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Enerji ihtiyac\u0131 sanayile\u015fmesini tamamlayan \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in ba\u015fka; tamamlayamay\u0131p geri kalan \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in ba\u015fka bir ihtiya\u00e7t\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Ne gariptir ki enerji ya da petrol satan \u00fclkelerin satacak ba\u015fka bir mallar\u0131 olmay\u0131\u015f\u0131 herhangi bir dalgalanmada b\u00fcy\u00fck krizleri tetikleyebilmi\u015ftir. Haliyle kitleleri de etkileyebilmi\u015ftir. Enerji ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek olanlarda ise k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir fiyat hareketi b\u00fcy\u00fck sonu\u00e7lara sebep olmu\u015ftur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n G\u00f6r\u00fcnmez bir denge var sanki\u2026 \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc sanayile\u015fen \u00fclkelerin sahip oldu\u011fu enerji kaynaklar\u0131 genellikle az iken, Ortado\u011fu ve Afrika\u2019da oldu\u011fu gibi hen\u00fcz sanayile\u015fmemi\u015f, geli\u015fmekte olan bir\u00e7ok \u00fclke \u00f6nemli enerji rezervlerine sahiptir.. Sat\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n olu\u015fturdu\u011fu OPEC gibi \u00f6rg\u00fctler zaman zaman fiyat \u00fczerinde de etkili olabilmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Petrol\u00fc, enerjisi olmayan ithalat\u00e7\u0131 \u00fclkeler dengeli ve d\u00fczenli, g\u00fcvenilir bir petrol arz\u0131na odaklanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Kesintisiz ve s\u00fcrekli tedarik onlar i\u00e7in daha da \u00f6nem kazanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u00d6zellikle 1973\u2019lerin petrol krizi sonras\u0131, Irak\u2019a ABD m\u00fcdahalesi (2003) ile ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan arz k\u0131s\u0131tl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 nedeniyle fiyat\u0131n birden 3 kat y\u00fckselmesi petrol\u00fcn etkisini ve g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc tekrardan hat\u0131rlatm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. 2000\u2019li y\u0131llar\u0131n petrol \u015foklar\u0131 ve ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme ili\u015fkisi, petrol fiyatlar\u0131 ve ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkinin de sorgulanmas\u0131na sebep olmu\u015ftur. Bu neden-sonu\u00e7 ili\u015fkisi incelendi\u011finde \u00fclkelerin fazlas\u0131yla petrole ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 girdi maliyetleri \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u00dcstelik petro-kimya yan sanayi olarak da \u00f6nemli bir ihtiyac\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lamaktad\u0131r. <\/p>\n\n\n\n \u00dclkemizde de d\u0131\u015f ticaretin \u00f6nemli bir kaleminin petrol olmas\u0131, neredeyse her 100 dolarl\u0131k ithalat\u0131n 25 dolar\u0131n\u0131n gelip enerjiye dayanmas\u0131, uzun y\u0131llard\u0131r ithalat\u0131n ticaretin ana unsuru oldu\u011funu g\u00f6stermektedir. Bu y\u00fczden hakl\u0131 olarak enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7e\u015fitlendirilmesi, yenilenebilir enerji kaynaklar\u0131 \u00fczerine \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar ve te\u015fvik politikalar\u0131 artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n sebeplerinden, \u00f6nemli bir kalem haline gelen petrol ithal girdi maliyetleri, ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in de s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 kayna\u011f\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr.Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 \u015fimdi d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc: 30 dolar alt seviyelerinde m\u00fc\u015fterisini beklemektedir. Son 10 y\u0131lda 140 dolar seviyelerine kadar y\u00fckselen bu fiyat\u0131n, bug\u00fcn geldi\u011fi nokta dikkat \u00e7ekicidir. \u00dcreticiler i\u00e7in zor olsa da T\u00fcrkiye gibi \u00fcretim ve kalk\u0131nmas\u0131nda enerji maliyeti y\u00fcksek \u00fclkeler bak\u0131m\u0131ndan kolayla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 ve sevindirici bir durumdur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Elbette bunun s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirli\u011fi ve uzun s\u00fcre devam etmesi s\u00f6z konusu olmayacakt\u0131r. Ancak bizim gibi ekonomilerin nefes almas\u0131 bak\u0131m\u0131ndan bu veriler \u00f6nemlidir. Bu fiyatlarla T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin yakla\u015f\u0131k 10 milyar dolar cari dengesine katk\u0131s\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6ylenebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Petrol\u00fcn 1973 krizinde ya\u015fanan ani fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131, petrol \u00fcreten \u00fclkeleri <\/strong>de vurmu\u015ftur. Petrol fiyat\u0131n\u0131n bu seviyeleri s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir de\u011fildir. Bunun i\u00e7in talebin artmas\u0131 ve \u00fcretimin de ba\u015flamas\u0131<\/span><\/strong> gerekmektedir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" 2018 b\u00fcy\u00fck kur ata\u011f\u0131 sonras\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de yang\u0131n, ancak kura kar\u015f\u0131, \u201cfaiz silah\u0131\u201d ile durdurulabilmi\u015fti. Faizler 625 baz puan artt\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. B\u00f6ylece 13 A\u011fustos g\u00fcn\u00fc dolar\u0131n g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc 7,11\u20ba seviyelerinden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ba\u015flad\u0131. Beklentiler 10\u20ba, bir rivayete g\u00f6re 14\u20ba\u2019ye gelip dayanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. O g\u00fcnlerde bu r\u00fczgara kap\u0131l\u0131p 6\u20ba ve \u00fczerinden dolar toplayanlar, sat\u0131n ald\u0131klar\u0131 seviyeleri iki y\u0131l sonra daha yeni […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10524,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[546,746,533,921,476,205,893,712,111,462,479,543,283,1,166,600,478,711,920,214,747],"tags":[246,775,206,164,717,137,112,187,962,194],"class_list":["post-10474","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-butce","category-butce-aciklari","category-buyume","category-covid19","category-dis-politika","category-dis-ticaret","category-dogu-akdeniz","category-dolarizasyon","category-ekonomi","category-enerji","category-enflasyon","category-faiz","category-gazete","category-genel","category-guncel","category-hayat","category-issizlik","category-kriz","category-saglik","category-sanayi","category-yatirimlar","tag-cari-acik","tag-cari-fazla","tag-enerji","tag-ihracat","tag-kur-atagi","tag-opec","tag-petrol","tag-petrol-fiyatlari","tag-petrol-krizi","tag-uretim"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10474","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10474"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10474\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10476,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10474\/revisions\/10476"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/10524"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10474"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10474"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10474"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}