{"id":10482,"date":"2020-05-03T22:03:03","date_gmt":"2020-05-03T22:03:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/acarhoca.com\/?p=10482"},"modified":"2020-05-03T22:03:06","modified_gmt":"2020-05-03T22:03:06","slug":"corona-ruzgari-ekonomide-sert-esiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/?p=10482","title":{"rendered":"Corona R\u00fczgar\u0131 Ekonomide Sert Esiyor"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Evdeyiz ama al\u0131\u015fveri\u015ften vazge\u00e7meyiz. Can s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131na birebir..  Gelsin sipari\u015fler, \u015fenlensin haneler&#8230; Herkesin eve \u00e7ekilmek zorunda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve zaman zaman da ekonominin durdu\u011fu g\u00fcnlerden ge\u00e7mekteyiz. Coronavir\u00fcs bu durmay\u0131 zorunlu k\u0131lmaktad\u0131r. Baz\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerdeki s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 \u00fcretim olsa da bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n sert bir \u015fekilde etkilendi\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan i\u015f kay\u0131plar\u0131 ve iflaslar\u0131n hele ki <strong>i\u015fsizli\u011fin<\/strong>, Avrupa ve d\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131nda milyonlarca insan \u00fczerinde b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomik bask\u0131lar olu\u015fturmas\u0131 muhtemeldir. Salg\u0131n\u0131n \u00c7in\u2019den sonra ilk etkiledi\u011fi b\u00f6lge olan Euro b\u00f6lgesi ve Avrupa merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB) derhal tedbirlerini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. \u00d6zellikle ECB 12 ve 18 Mart 2020&#8217;de a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 kararlar ile ilk tepkisini g\u00f6stermi\u015f oldu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sonra Avrupa \u00fclkeleri devlet ba\u015fkanlar\u0131 kameralar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda, alacaklar\u0131 \u00f6nlemleri a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015f oldu. \u00d6z\u00fcnde <strong>\u201cdevlet yard\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131\u201d<\/strong> i\u00e7eren paketler ile b\u00fct\u00fcn mali kural ve kurullar ask\u0131ya al\u0131nm\u0131\u015f oldu. Bunun anlam\u0131:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>&#8211;<strong>Devlet<\/strong> da\u011f\u0131t\u0131c\u0131 ve dengeleyici olarak piyasaya girerek, y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 etkiyi \u00f6nleyecek,<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>-B\u00fct\u00e7e dengelerinin &nbsp;bozulmas\u0131na bak\u0131lmayacak,<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>-Vergi gelirleri toplanmayacak, ertelenecek,<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>-\u0130\u015fsizlik ile ilgili, ki\u015filere y\u00fcksek \u00f6demeler yap\u0131lacakt\u0131r.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bu konuda <strong>somut \u00f6nlemler<\/strong> k\u0131sm\u0131na bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ilk olarak salg\u0131n\u0131n durdurulmas\u0131, yay\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nlenmesi konusu gelir ki bu durum, sa\u011fl\u0131k sistemi i\u00e7in alarm hali ve seferberlik demektir. Burada hastane sistemlerinden sa\u011fl\u0131k \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131na, teknolojik donan\u0131mdan temel ihtiya\u00e7lara salg\u0131nda bir \u00f6n alma s\u00f6z konusudur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Olay\u0131n ekonomi cephesinde en \u00f6nde <strong>KOB\u0130<\/strong>&#8216;ler vard\u0131r. 4 milyonu bulan say\u0131lar\u0131 ile ba\u015fta onlar\u0131n s\u00fcbvanse edilmesi, devlete kar\u015f\u0131 y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fcklerinin iptali veya ertelenmesi b\u00fct\u00e7e dengesi i\u00e7in harcamalar\u0131n artt\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekecektir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Devlete kar\u015f\u0131 y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fcklerin ertelenmesi konusunda ilk olarak vergiler ve sosyal g\u00fcvenlik primleri gelmektedir. Bu \u00f6nlemler ba\u015fta bireylerin ve \u015firketlerin likidite pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 iyile\u015ftirecektir. Bu durum y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fcklerin iptali de\u011fil \u00f6telenmesidir. Hemen hemen b\u00fct\u00fcn \u00fclkeler etkin kredilendirme sistemi ile firmalar\u0131n ihtiya\u00e7 duydu\u011fu finansman\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131. &nbsp;Sonu\u00e7ta 2020&#8217;de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck karl\u0131l\u0131k ve ertelenen vergiler sebebiyle b\u00fct\u00e7e dengesinin daha da bozulmas\u0131 ile sonu\u00e7lanacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Di\u011fer y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fckler bak\u0131m\u0131ndan ele al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda burada ilk dikkati \u00e7eken d\u00fczenli \u00f6demeler, krediler, taksitler ve rutin i\u015fletme giderleridir. Daha geni\u015f manada ihracat garantileri, likidite yard\u0131m\u0131, kalk\u0131nma bankalar\u0131ndan sa\u011flanan finansman\u0131n geri \u00f6demeleri gelir. &nbsp;Sonu\u00e7ta&nbsp; iyile\u015ftirilmek istenen <strong>nakit pozisyonlard\u0131r.<\/strong> Bunlar da kredilerle sa\u011fland\u0131\u011f\u0131 takdirde firmalar\u0131n gelecekteki y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fcklerini artt\u0131racakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bunlar\u0131n hepsi kurtarma paketlerine yans\u0131yan durumlar. Ancak \u00fcretime ara verme sorunu imalattan da\u011f\u0131t\u0131ma, hatta perakende sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne kadar finansal dalgalanman\u0131n sebebidir. E\u011fer&nbsp; <strong>g\u0131da perakende, e-ticaret \u015firketleri, hijyen malzemeleri <\/strong>\u00fcreten \u015firketler ile <strong>teknoloji ve oyun \u015firketleri<\/strong>nden s\u00f6z edilmiyorsa di\u011ferleri i\u00e7in nakit ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 durmu\u015f anlam\u0131na gelebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sanayinin ana kollar\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturan otomotiv, beyaz e\u015fya, giyim, havayolu, seyahat, demir \u00e7elik gibi sekt\u00f6rler kesinlikle bu s\u00fcre\u00e7ten b\u00fcy\u00fck hasar alm\u0131\u015f durumdad\u0131r. Haliyle reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn besledi\u011fi bankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fc de bu s\u00fcre\u00e7ten &nbsp;olumsuz etkilenmi\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcnmektedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0130htiyatl\u0131 iyimserlik piyasalar i\u00e7in yukar\u0131 do\u011fru hareketin kayna\u011f\u0131 olacakt\u0131r. B\u0130ST endeksinde Mart ay\u0131nda en \u00e7ok getiri sa\u011flayan \u015firketlerin de perakende, g\u0131da ve ila\u00e7 alan\u0131nda oldu\u011funa dikkat edilirse, ba\u015ftan beri dikkat \u00e7ekti\u011fimiz alanlarda \u00f6ncelikli d\u00fczelme olmas\u0131 beklenmektedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Yat\u0131r\u0131m baz\u0131nda da yeni d\u00f6nemde sa\u011fl\u0131k, g\u0131da ve temizlik \u00fcr\u00fcnlerine olan talep yeni yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 getirecek ve k\u00fcmelenmeler olu\u015facakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Teknoloji\/yaz\u0131l\u0131m ve e\u011flence sekt\u00f6r\u00fc de bu d\u00f6nemin parlayan y\u0131ld\u0131z\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclmelidir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc eve kapat\u0131lan ki\u015filerin sa\u011fl\u0131k sorunu yoksa ve karn\u0131 da doymu\u015fsa.. <strong><em>\u201cE\u011flendirilmelidir\u2026<\/em><\/strong>\u201d &nbsp;Onu evde tutacak can s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131na mani olacak bir ortam sa\u011flanmal\u0131d\u0131r. Bunun i\u00e7in bahsi ge\u00e7en sekt\u00f6rler abes g\u00f6r\u00fclmemelidir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ayr\u0131ca evden \u00e7al\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ke\u015ffedilmesi, devletin daha fazla destekleyece\u011fi yeni bir alan\u0131 ortaya \u00e7\u0131kartm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r: <strong>\u201cteknoloji ile birlikte yaz\u0131l\u0131m.\u201d<\/strong> Salg\u0131n sonras\u0131nda dijitalle\u015fmeye yat\u0131r\u0131m yapan firmalar hem kendilerini hem de tedarik\u00e7ilerini sevindirecektir. Art\u0131k kendini ispatlam\u0131\u015f yeni bir i\u015f modeli olarak &nbsp;<strong>\u201cevden \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma\u201d,<\/strong> tam anlam\u0131yla sahadad\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Evdeyiz ama al\u0131\u015fveri\u015ften vazge\u00e7meyiz. Can s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131na birebir.. Gelsin sipari\u015fler, \u015fenlensin haneler&#8230; Herkesin eve \u00e7ekilmek zorunda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve zaman zaman da ekonominin durdu\u011fu g\u00fcnlerden ge\u00e7mekteyiz. Coronavir\u00fcs bu durmay\u0131 zorunlu k\u0131lmaktad\u0131r. Baz\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerdeki s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 \u00fcretim olsa da bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n sert bir \u015fekilde etkilendi\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. Ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan i\u015f kay\u0131plar\u0131 ve iflaslar\u0131n hele ki i\u015fsizli\u011fin, Avrupa ve d\u00fcnya [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10483,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[281,592,921,111,479,283,1,858,478,922,920,923,518,933],"tags":[952,940,965,867,953,966,925],"class_list":["post-10482","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-basin","category-coin","category-covid19","category-ekonomi","category-enflasyon","category-gazete","category-genel","category-gida","category-issizlik","category-pandemi","category-saglik","category-saglik-ekonomisi","category-siber-uzay","category-turizm","tag-corona","tag-covid19","tag-eglence","tag-gida","tag-korona","tag-online-alisveris","tag-pandemi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10482","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10482"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10482\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10484,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10482\/revisions\/10484"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/10483"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10482"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10482"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10482"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}