{"id":10696,"date":"2021-07-21T20:04:35","date_gmt":"2021-07-21T20:04:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/acarhoca.com\/?p=10696"},"modified":"2021-07-21T20:04:38","modified_gmt":"2021-07-21T20:04:38","slug":"normallesememek","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/?p=10696","title":{"rendered":"Normalle\u015fememek"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">1 Temmuz itibariyle T\u00fcrkiye, kontroll\u00fc bir &#8220;<strong>normalle\u015fme&#8221;<\/strong> d\u00f6nemine girdi. 16 ayd\u0131r b\u00fct\u00fcn \u00fclkeyi \u00a0saran bu cendereden \u00e7\u0131kmak istiyoruz. Ancak ne jeo-stratejik gerilimler ne de siyasetin koridorlar\u0131 rahatlad\u0131.\u00a0 Dokundu\u011fumuz her yerden sesler geliyor. Ancak g\u00fcvenlik riski d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda en b\u00fcy\u00fck tehdit\u00a0<em><strong>ekonomiden\u2026\u00a0<\/strong><\/em>\u00a0\u00d6zellikle hayat pahal\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131, \u00e7ar\u015f\u0131 pazar fiyatlar\u0131 yaz sezonu sebebiyle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle fark edilmese de \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki \u00fc\u00e7 ay iyi de\u011ferlendirilmelidir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bu aralar reel kesim g\u00fcven endeksinden tutun da kapasite kullan\u0131m oranlar\u0131na varan kontroll\u00fc serbestlik sonu\u00e7lar\u0131,&nbsp;<strong>ekonomide h\u0131zl\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015fin<\/strong>&nbsp;de habercisi olabilir. \u00d6zellikle Turizmle ba\u015flayan b\u00fct\u00fcn sekt\u00f6rlere yay\u0131lan hareketlilik g\u00f6zle g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcr bir oranda h\u0131zlanma e\u011filiminde. Ekonominin bu olumlu tepkisi T\u00fcrkiye gibi gen\u00e7 ve dinamik bir n\u00fcfusa sahip olan \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in beklenmedik \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar ve f\u0131rsatlar\u0131n habercisidir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ba\u015fta alt yap\u0131n\u0131n ya da yayg\u0131n deyimiyle <strong><span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">\u201ctopra\u011fa g\u00f6m\u00fclen kaynaklar\u0131n\u201d <\/span><\/strong>\u00a0ekonomi i\u00e7in muhtemel k\u0131ymeti, gelen d\u00f6nemlerde kendisini g\u00f6sterecek. Un-ya\u011f- \u015feker denkleminin helvaya d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmesi T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin hem yat\u0131r\u0131m iklimi hem \u00fcretim ve istihdam ortam\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015fmesi ile m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Devlet de bunu y\u00f6netmek ad\u0131na destekleme ve te\u015fvik programlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00fcst \u00fcste a\u00e7\u0131klamaya devam ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Covid19 s\u00fcrecinde dahi ihracat i\u00e7in konu\u015fulan rakamlar 200 milyar dolar seviyesindedir. Bunun turizmle desteklenen yan\u0131 50 milyar dolara y\u00fckselmesi muhtemeldir.\u00a0\u00a0<strong>\u201cBu salg\u0131n olmasayd\u0131\u2026\u201d\u00a0<\/strong>diye s\u00f6ze ba\u015flamadan, bu\u00a0<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.kitapyurdu.com\/kitap\/pandemi-ekonomisi-\/572257.html\">Pandemi Ekonomisi<\/a>\u00a0<\/span><\/span>s\u00fcrecinin b\u00fct\u00fcn ekonomik planlar\u0131 ter-y\u00fcz etti\u011fini atlamayal\u0131m.\u00a0 \u00dcstelik 2008 krizinin etkileri hen\u00fcz bitmemi\u015fken \u00fcst\u00fcne bu salg\u0131n d\u00f6nemi ba\u015flad\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye, potansiyeli ile \u00e7evresinin de etkilerini lehine \u00e7evirebilecek bir g\u00fcce sahiptir. Ticaret yolu olmaktan, ticaret \u00fcss\u00fcne d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015febilecek yat\u0131r\u0131m hamleleri ile bu s\u00fcre\u00e7lerin makul ve mant\u0131kl\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclmesi m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Pandemi<\/strong>&nbsp;d\u00f6neminde gerek kapanma gerekse de a\u015f\u0131lama s\u00fcre\u00e7leri ile kontrol alt\u0131nda tutulmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lan s\u00fcrecin olumlu etkilerini, toplum olarak g\u00f6rmeye haz\u0131r\u0131z.&nbsp; A\u015f\u0131lamada kritik e\u015fiklerin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131, tedbirlerin devam etmesi ayn\u0131 zamanda kontroll\u00fc kriz y\u00f6netimi T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in ba\u015fka f\u0131rsatlar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7maktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin, 2021 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerini son bir y\u0131lda 10 defa revize eden yabanc\u0131 yay\u0131nlar ve raporlar s\u00fcreklilik arz etmektedir. B\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentileri %6-8 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131ndad\u0131r. Bunun da \u00f6tesinde&nbsp;<strong>bu beklentilerin \u00fcst\u00fcnde&nbsp;<\/strong>bir sonu\u00e7la kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fmam\u0131z s\u00fcrpriz olmayacakt\u0131r. IMF ve D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 ile kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n &nbsp;ekonomiyle ilgili de\u011ferlendirmeleri olumlu y\u00f6ndedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fc ekonominin yar\u0131dan fazlas\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturmaktad\u0131r (%56). &nbsp;\u015eimdilerde sanayideki hareketlenme k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn de ivmelenmesine sebep olur. T\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksleri de bu y\u00f6nde de\u011fi\u015fmektedir. Art\u0131k bir ba\u015far\u0131 hikayesi olarak an\u0131lmak de\u011fil T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin hak etti\u011fi yere oturmas\u0131 beklenmektedir. Son olarak 1 Temmuz itibariyle ba\u015flayan yeni normalle\u015fme 2. ve 3. \u00c7eyreklerdeki y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakamlar\u0131n\u0131n da habercisidir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tekrarda fayda var: Ba\u015fka T\u00fcrkiye yok. Moral bozmak, sa\u011fa \u2013 sola h\u00f6yk\u00fcrmekle \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclecek bir mesele yok.\u00a0\u00a0<strong>Pandemi s\u00fcrecimiz bitmedi!..<\/strong>\u00a0Rakamlar ve \u00f6l\u00fcmler yeniden y\u00fckseliyor. Kontroll\u00fc serbestle\u015fmede, kontrol\u00fc kaybetti\u011fimiz takdirde alt\u0131 ay daha kapanma ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz\u00a0 olacakt\u0131r.\u00a0<strong>Eninde sonunda bu g\u00fcnler ge\u00e7ecek\u2026<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>1 Temmuz itibariyle T\u00fcrkiye, kontroll\u00fc bir &#8220;normalle\u015fme&#8221; d\u00f6nemine girdi. 16 ayd\u0131r b\u00fct\u00fcn \u00fclkeyi \u00a0saran bu cendereden \u00e7\u0131kmak istiyoruz. Ancak ne jeo-stratejik gerilimler ne de siyasetin koridorlar\u0131 rahatlad\u0131.\u00a0 Dokundu\u011fumuz her yerden sesler geliyor. Ancak g\u00fcvenlik riski d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda en b\u00fcy\u00fck tehdit\u00a0ekonomiden\u2026\u00a0\u00a0\u00d6zellikle hayat pahal\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131, \u00e7ar\u015f\u0131 pazar fiyatlar\u0131 yaz sezonu sebebiyle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle fark edilmese de \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki \u00fc\u00e7 ay iyi [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10697,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[660,281,533,921,745,111,1,166,922,472,920],"tags":[1052,925,928,926],"class_list":["post-10696","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ab","category-basin","category-buyume","category-covid19","category-cumhurbaskanligi-hukumet-sistemi-butcesi","category-ekonomi","category-genel","category-guncel","category-pandemi","category-referandum","category-saglik","tag-normallesme","tag-pandemi","tag-pandemi-ekonomisi","tag-salgin"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10696","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10696"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10696\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10698,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10696\/revisions\/10698"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/10697"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10696"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10696"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10696"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}