{"id":10798,"date":"2021-12-25T20:52:09","date_gmt":"2021-12-25T20:52:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/acarhoca.com\/?p=10798"},"modified":"2021-12-27T11:22:07","modified_gmt":"2021-12-27T11:22:07","slug":"faizler-inecek-derken-neler-oldu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/?p=10798","title":{"rendered":"Faizler \u0130necek Derken Neler Oldu?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">T\u00fcrkiye, Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda 100bps yapm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu faiz indirimi sonras\u0131nda, 20 Aral\u0131k haftas\u0131na d\u00f6vizde b\u00fcy\u00fck bir t\u0131rmanma ile ba\u015flad\u0131\u2026 9,60 \u2013 9,80 \u20ba seviyesindeki dolar kuru&nbsp; \u00f6nce 13 \u20ba, sonra 18\u20ba&nbsp; seviyelerine dayand\u0131 ki bu durum %60\u2019l\u0131k bir de\u011fer kayb\u0131 ve&nbsp;<strong>deval\u00fcasyon<\/strong>&nbsp;anlam\u0131na gelmektedir. Durum, d\u00f6vizi olanlar\u0131 sevindiren; sabit ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelirli guruplar i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck bir sorunun ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131 demek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bu arada 1000 \u20ba seviyesine yakla\u015fan gram alt\u0131n\u0131 da ihmal etmeyelim.&nbsp; Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 sevindiren bir durum olmakla birlikte hayat pahal\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nemli g\u00f6stergelerinden birisi oldu. D\u00f6vize ba\u011fl\u0131 b\u00fct\u00fcn i\u015flemler pahal\u0131 hale geldi. Haliyle alt\u0131n da dolara ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak y\u00fckseldi. \u015fimdilik T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda \/y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc olan veya bor\u00e7lu milyonlar\u0131 vurmas\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz bir durum.&nbsp; Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB) d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131ndaki hareketlili\u011fe ili\u015fkin a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131nda &nbsp;<strong><em>\u201c<span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">Ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i olmayan fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 <\/span>var. Bu art\u0131\u015flarla birlikte bir tak\u0131m spek\u00fclatif art\u0131\u015flar olabilir.\u201d<\/em><\/strong>&nbsp;\u0130fadesine yer vermi\u015fti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kurdaki bu art\u0131\u015fa y\u00f6nelik muhalefet cephesi &nbsp;<strong>\u2018Merkez Bankas\u0131 faiz indirimine gitti, pas ge\u00e7seydi b\u00f6yle olmazd\u0131\u2019<\/strong>&nbsp;&nbsp;ele\u015ftirilerini y\u00f6neltti.&nbsp; Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kendi elindeki ara\u00e7larla duruma m\u00fcdahalesi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olsa da kuru kendi dalgalanmas\u0131na b\u0131rakm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bizim cephe b\u00f6yle de\u00a0 ya dolar\u0131n sahipleri ne d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor?\u00a0 Sermaye sahipleri T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de\u00a0 dolar\u0131 y\u00fckselterek neyi ba\u015farmak istedi? Dolar\u0131n efendileri \u201cBizim hareketlerimize g\u00f6re mi davranacak, kendi stratejisine g\u00f6re mi hareket edecek\u201d onu bilmiyoruz. \u015eu anda \u00fcretilen tek arg\u00fcman \u015fu: \u00a0\u2018Merkez Bankas\u0131 faiz indirdi, o y\u00fczden dolar patlad\u0131, gitti.\u201d Bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f tek yanl\u0131 sadece bizim taraftan bir a\u00e7\u0131klamad\u0131r. \u00dcstelik d\u00f6viz hesaplar\u0131 son haftalarda\u00a0 235 milyar dolara y\u00fckselmi\u015ftir. bu durum toplam mevduat\u0131n %68\u2019inin d\u00f6viz olmas\u0131 demektir. TL i\u00e7in g\u00fcvensiz bir ortam olu\u015fmu\u015f durumda. 10 g\u00fcnde, 2 milyar dolarl\u0131k d\u00f6viz mevduat hesab\u0131 art\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00a0yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan T\u00fcrkiye gelen d\u00f6viz de\u011fildir: Yerle\u015fiklerin, kendi halk\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n<em><span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">\u00a0<strong>\u201cmilli paradan ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u0131\u201d<\/strong>\u00a0<\/span><\/em>\u00a0demektir.\u00a0 \u0130\u00e7eridekiler T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019ndan d\u00f6vize ge\u00e7ti. Vatanda\u015f, kendi yerli ve milli paras\u0131na olan g\u00fcveni kaybetti ve varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 koruma derdine d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bir de d\u00fcnya genelinde dolar\u0131n de\u011fer kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Toparlanan ABD ekonomisi Haziran 2022\u2019ye kadar varl\u0131k satmaya devam ederek&nbsp;<strong>\u201cdolar\u0131 kendi \u00fclkesine \u00e7a\u011f\u0131rmaya\u201d&nbsp;<\/strong>ba\u015flad\u0131. Dolar\u0131n kendisi de\u011fer kazan\u0131rsa, enflasyon ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz oluyor. Enflasyonun ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz olmas\u0131 da en fazla mal piyasalar\u0131n\u0131 vuruyor. Mal piyasalar\u0131nda fiyat\u0131n y\u00fckselmesiyle \u00fclkelerdeki \u00fcretim pahal\u0131la\u015facak. Bu durumda hayat pahal\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, enflasyonu ve sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc etkileyecek. Dolar\u0131n bu kadar fazla de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131 piyasalar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan do\u011fru de\u011fil. ABD i\u00e7in de do\u011fru de\u011fil\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">D\u00fcnyan\u0131n y\u00fczde 25-30 ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne sahip Amerika\u2019n\u0131n bu enflasyondan daha fazla etkilenmesi s\u00f6z konusu. Dolar kuru bir \u015fekilde 12 \u20ba seviyelerine geri d\u00f6necek. Bu gidi\u015fat normal de\u011fil. Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n y\u0131lsonu i\u00e7in belirlemi\u015f oldu\u011fu 9,80\u2019lik fiyat normaldir. Ancak dolar\u0131n bug\u00fcnk\u00fc fiyat\u0131n\u0131n, 12\u20ba\u2019ye gelmesi kolay olmayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Joe Biden\u2019in ekonomi plan\u0131n\u0131n ilk a\u015famas\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturan yakla\u015f\u0131k 1 trilyon dolarl\u0131k destek &nbsp;paketini Senato ve Temsilciler Meclisi\u2019nden ge\u00e7irdi. Biden, bununla d\u0131\u015far\u0131ya \u2018<em>Biz g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fcy\u00fcz, para benim elimde\u2019<\/em>&nbsp;mesaj\u0131 veriyor. \u00dcstelik 1,5 tr. dolarl\u0131k ikinci paketi de onaylatm\u0131\u015f durumda. Dolar hala sa\u011flam duruyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O zaman memlekette iktidara sahip olanlara, \u00fclke ekonomisini y\u00f6netenlere i\u015f d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Ekonomiyi y\u00f6netenler, piyasaya daha fazla bilgi vermesi gerekiyor. Bu anlamda Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klama \u00f6nemlidir. Ama bu t\u00fcr a\u00e7\u0131klamalar s\u00fcrekli olmal\u0131. Bug\u00fcnk\u00fc Hazine ve Maliye Bakan\u0131\u2019n\u0131n, Bakan\u00a0 yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 iken dahi verdi\u011fi mesaj da bu bak\u0131mdan \u00e7ok k\u0131ymetli bulunmu\u015ftur.\u00a0 Ekonomi y\u00f6netimi\u00a0<em><strong>\u201c<span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">\u015feffaf <\/span>ve\u00a0s\u00fcrekli bilgi verme odakl\u0131\u201d<\/strong><\/em>\u00a0oldu\u011funda, bu en az\u00a0 bir ekonomik m\u00fcdahale kadar etkili olacakt\u0131r.\u00a0Muhalefetin\u00a0<strong>\u2018derhal se\u00e7im\u2019<\/strong>\u00a0s\u00f6yleminin de program tabanl\u0131 bir kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 yoktur. Olay\u0131n\u00a0 k\u00f6p\u00fcrt\u00fclmesidir. \u00a0Ortada bir karma\u015fa var.\u00a0\u00a0Bu da \u201c<strong><span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">a\u00e7\u0131k ileti\u015fim<\/span>\u201d<\/strong>\u00a0ile \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcl\u00fcr.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcrkiye, Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda 100bps yapm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu faiz indirimi sonras\u0131nda, 20 Aral\u0131k haftas\u0131na d\u00f6vizde b\u00fcy\u00fck bir t\u0131rmanma ile ba\u015flad\u0131\u2026 9,60 \u2013 9,80 \u20ba seviyesindeki dolar kuru&nbsp; \u00f6nce 13 \u20ba, sonra 18\u20ba&nbsp; seviyelerine dayand\u0131 ki bu durum %60\u2019l\u0131k bir de\u011fer kayb\u0131 ve&nbsp;deval\u00fcasyon&nbsp;anlam\u0131na gelmektedir. Durum, d\u00f6vizi olanlar\u0131 sevindiren; sabit ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelirli guruplar i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck bir sorunun ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10799,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[546,111,479,543,1,166,591],"tags":[190,225,416],"class_list":["post-10798","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-butce","category-ekonomi","category-enflasyon","category-faiz","category-genel","category-guncel","category-para","tag-enflasyon","tag-faiz","tag-kur"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10798","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10798"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10798\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10816,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10798\/revisions\/10816"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/10799"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10798"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10798"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10798"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}