{"id":10807,"date":"2021-12-25T21:12:36","date_gmt":"2021-12-25T21:12:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/acarhoca.com\/?p=10807"},"modified":"2021-12-26T14:26:41","modified_gmt":"2021-12-26T14:26:41","slug":"bitmeyen-kur-faiz-ve-enflasyon-soylemi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/?p=10807","title":{"rendered":"Bitmeyen Kur, Faiz ve Enflasyon S\u00f6ylemi"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u201c\u00d6n\u00fcn\u00fc k\u0131\u015f tutmak\u201d<\/strong>\u00a0bir atas\u00f6z\u00fc oldu\u011fu kadar ayn\u0131 zamanda tedbirli olmay\u0131 da \u00f6\u011f\u00fctler. Havalar ger\u00e7ekten belirsiz. Yine de tedbiri elden b\u0131rakmamak tercih sebebidir.\u00a0 Balkanlardan gelen so\u011fuk hava dalgas\u0131n\u0131n, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u0131l\u0131man iklim \u00fczerine etkisi sert oluyor. Aral\u0131k ay\u0131 b\u00fct\u00fcn yurtta sert k\u0131\u015f \u015fartlar\u0131 var demektir: T\u00fcrkiye <strong>\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor<\/strong>\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ekonomi de\u00a0 b\u00f6yle!.. Bir yanda faiz \u2013 kur, \u00f6te yanda enflasyon\u2026 \u0130hracat\u0131 te\u015fvik, ithalat\u0131n k\u0131s\u0131lmas\u0131<strong>, <span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">cari a\u00e7\u0131k<\/span><\/strong> derken ekonomi\u00a0<em><strong>\u201coluruna b\u0131rak!..\u201d<\/strong><\/em>\u00a0denilen bir hal al\u0131yor ki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelir gruplar\u0131n\u0131n ma\u011fduriyetinin y\u00f6netildi\u011fi s\u00fcrece sorun yok!.. Ekonominin de\u011fi\u015fken \u015fartlar\u0131na al\u0131\u015ft\u0131k ve al\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131k\u2026 D\u00f6viz kurundaki s\u00fck\u00fbneti da\u011f\u0131tmaya bazen tek bulut yetiveriyor veya bazen bir r\u00fczgar denk geliyor b\u00fct\u00fcn bulutlar da\u011f\u0131l\u0131veriyor. Ekonominin bozuk havas\u0131n\u0131 da\u011f\u0131tacak en \u00f6nemli etken, siyasi iradenin belirlili\u011fidir:\u00a0<strong><span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131kt\u0131r, \u015feffafl\u0131kt\u0131r\u2026<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Biz kendi kendimize \u201cN\u2019oluyoruz?\u201d diye sorup, cevab\u0131 da kendi kendimize veremeyiz? Bu y\u00fczden h\u00fck\u00fcmetlerin bu siyasi ileti\u015fim kanal\u0131n\u0131, ekonomi ileti\u015fimi ile&nbsp; belirginle\u015ftirmesi beklenir. Ekonomi karamsarl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve karars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 sevmez. Bulutlar kolay da\u011f\u0131lmaz. Siyasi iktidarlar ne kadar \u00e7ok a\u00e7\u0131k ileti\u015fim geli\u015ftirirse, s\u00fcre\u00e7 o kadar \u00e7ok kolay y\u00f6netilir. Aksi takdirde karamsarlar ile i\u00e7eride ve d\u0131\u015far\u0131da puslu havay\u0131 bekleyenlerin say\u0131s\u0131, hi\u00e7 de az de\u011fildir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Y\u00fcr\u00fctmenin ba\u015f\u0131 olarak bu sorumluluk Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131ndad\u0131r. Onun ve ekibinin a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 merakla beklenir ve izlenir. Ekonomiyi zaafiyete u\u011fratacak hi\u00e7bir geli\u015fmeye ve<em> <strong>bilgi kirlili\u011fine<\/strong><\/em> f\u0131rsat verilmemelidir. Ekonomi kurmaylar\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 ve bir de <strong><span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">2022 B\u00fct\u00e7esi<\/span><\/strong> g\u00f6stergeleri, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f politika a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 kadar \u00f6nemlidir. Her bir davran\u0131\u015f, bulutlar\u0131 toplayacak ya da bulutlar\u0131 da\u011f\u0131tacak etkiye sahiptir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi b\u00fcy\u00fck bir ekonomidir. Ancak ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 sanc\u0131lar hala daha tam\u00a0<strong><em>\u00fcretim ekonomisi<\/em><\/strong>ne ge\u00e7emeyi\u015fin sanc\u0131lar\u0131d\u0131r. \u00dclke,\u00a0<strong><em>ileri teknoloji<\/em><\/strong>\u00a0gerektiren bir \u00fcretim sisteminin hen\u00fcz ba\u015f\u0131ndad\u0131r. \u0130thalat bu y\u00fczden hem sermaye mal\u0131 hem de ileri teknoloji mallar\u0131na dayand\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in\u00a0\u201c<strong><em>d\u0131\u015f ticaret, <\/em><\/strong><span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\"><strong><em>a\u00e7\u0131k<\/em><\/strong>\u201d\u00a0<\/span>vermektedir. Evladiyelik \u00fcretti\u011fimiz buzdolab\u0131, TV\u2019ler, her y\u0131l yenilenen y\u00fcksek teknolojili cep telefonlar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda y\u00fckte a\u011f\u0131r <em><strong>pahada hafif<\/strong><\/em> kalmaktad\u0131r. \u00dcretimimiz,\u00a0 zamana yenik d\u00fc\u015fmektedir. \u0130hracat\u0131n da niteli\u011fi\u00a0<strong><em>d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck teknolojili<\/em><\/strong>\u00a0\u00fcr\u00fcnler a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131d\u0131r. Haliyle toplam \u00fcretim i\u00e7erisinde %3 seviyesindeki y\u00fcksek teknolojili \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin artt\u0131r\u0131lmaya ihtiyac\u0131 bulunmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sonu\u00e7ta ihracat\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n kg de\u011feri 1 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131ndad\u0131r. Topraktan \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi yap\u0131lan sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n, ekonomik manadaki ad\u0131&nbsp;<strong>\u201chamall\u0131kt\u0131r\u201d<\/strong>. Haliyle bir \u00fclkenin \u00fcretti\u011finden fazla d\u00f6viz t\u00fcketmesi&nbsp;<strong>a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 daha da artt\u0131rmaktad\u0131r<\/strong>. \u0130hracat miktar endeksi %20 artarken gelirin de %3-5 artmas\u0131 bunun en a\u00e7\u0131k g\u00f6stergesidir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131 kapatmak i\u00e7in\u00a0<strong>\u201c\u00fcretim\u201d<\/strong>, \u00fcretim i\u00e7in\u00a0<strong>\u201ctasarruf\u201d<\/strong>, tasarruf i\u00e7in\u00a0<strong>\u201cgelir<\/strong>\u201d gerekmektedir. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin b\u00f6lgesinde temasta oldu\u011fu \u00fclkeler itibariyle bir geli\u015fmi\u015flik fark\u0131 ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131r. Bu da yeterli b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin sa\u011flanmas\u0131 ile m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olacakt\u0131r. Bunun i\u00e7in\u00a0<strong>\u00fcretim ve gelir<\/strong>\u00a0dengesini yakalamak istemektedir. Bu dengenin her bozulmas\u0131 \u201c<strong><em>yeniden <span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">bor\u00e7lanmak<\/span>\u201d\u00a0<\/em><\/strong>\u00a0daha fazla\u00a0<strong>\u201c<span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">bor\u00e7lanmak<\/span>,\u201d<\/strong>\u00a0ille de \u201c<strong><em><span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">bor\u00e7lanmak<\/span>\u201d<\/em><\/strong>\u00a0demektir.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">T\u00fcrk ekonomisi i\u00e7in bahar, makul bir gelir seviyesinde, yeterince\u00a0 <strong>tasarruf<\/strong>\u00a0edebildi\u011fi,\u00a0<strong>enerji<\/strong>de ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u015fabildi\u011fi ve\u00a0<strong>ileri teknoloji<\/strong>\u00a0gerektiren \u00fcr\u00fcnleri \u00fcretebildi\u011fi g\u00fcn gelecektir. Bug\u00fcnler, ekonominin mekanik olmayan yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 y\u00f6netmek i\u00e7in, yeterli ve gerekli kararlar\u0131n al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fcnlerdir. \u00d6ncelikle \u00fcretimin devam etmesi ve yeni te\u015febb\u00fcs g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn sisteme girmesi,\u00a0 istihdam ve talep olu\u015fturma a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemlidir.\u00a0 Topyek\u00fcn kalk\u0131nman\u0131n temeli budur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Her g\u00fcn\u00a0&#8220;<strong>dolar<\/strong>\u00a0ka\u00e7 oldu,\u00a0<strong>faiz<\/strong>\u00a0ne kadar&#8221; sorular\u0131, sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir ekonomi i\u00e7in uygun <strong>de\u011fildir. <\/strong>Dolar bir g\u00f6stergedir. <strong><span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">\u00dcretim <\/span><\/strong>konusu ve\u00a0<strong>\u201cneyi \u00fcretti\u011fimiz<span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">?<\/span>\u201d<\/strong>\u00a0 konusu daha \u00f6nemlidir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\u00d6n\u00fcn\u00fc k\u0131\u015f tutmak\u201d\u00a0bir atas\u00f6z\u00fc oldu\u011fu kadar ayn\u0131 zamanda tedbirli olmay\u0131 da \u00f6\u011f\u00fctler. Havalar ger\u00e7ekten belirsiz. Yine de tedbiri elden b\u0131rakmamak tercih sebebidir.\u00a0 Balkanlardan gelen so\u011fuk hava dalgas\u0131n\u0131n, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u0131l\u0131man iklim \u00fczerine etkisi sert oluyor. Aral\u0131k ay\u0131 b\u00fct\u00fcn yurtta sert k\u0131\u015f \u015fartlar\u0131 var demektir: T\u00fcrkiye \u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor\u2026 Ekonomi de\u00a0 b\u00f6yle!.. Bir yanda faiz \u2013 kur, \u00f6te yanda [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10808,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[111,479,543,1,166],"tags":[225,195,717,960],"class_list":["post-10807","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-enflasyon","category-faiz","category-genel","category-guncel","tag-faiz","tag-istihdam","tag-kur-atagi","tag-uretim-sart"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10807","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10807"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10807\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10815,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10807\/revisions\/10815"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/10808"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10807"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10807"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10807"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}