{"id":10855,"date":"2022-04-07T23:34:54","date_gmt":"2022-04-07T23:34:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/acarhoca.com\/?p=10855"},"modified":"2022-04-07T23:35:09","modified_gmt":"2022-04-07T23:35:09","slug":"2021-buyume-rakamlarini-gorunce","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/?p=10855","title":{"rendered":"2021 B\u00fcy\u00fcme Rakamlar\u0131n\u0131 G\u00f6r\u00fcnce"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi 2021&#8217;de %11 b\u00fcy\u00fcy\u00fcnce, yedek kul\u00fcbesinde bekletilen as oyuncunun sahaya ini\u015fi kadar heyecana kap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131k.<em> &#8220;Baz etkisi idi, pandemi s\u00fcrecindeki  kapanmama idi, ge\u00e7ici idi.&#8221;  <\/em>s\u00f6ylemleri aras\u0131nda;  24 \u015eubat 2022 tarihinde, Rusya&#8217;n\u0131n Ukrayna&#8217;ya sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 ile ger\u00e7ek d\u00fcnyan\u0131n ac\u0131mas\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131na yeniden d\u00f6nd\u00fck. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Yine de 2021 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi son 10 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakam\u0131 olarak kay\u0131tlara ge\u00e7ti. Bu zaman zarf\u0131nda, bu kadar s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerin \u00fcst\u00fcne Gezi Park\u0131 ve 17\/25 konusu (2013), Rus U\u00e7a\u011f\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi (2015), 15 Temmuz kalk\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 (2016), Rahip Brunson olay\u0131 (2018), Covid19 pandemisi (2020) derken; \u00fcst\u00fcne Anayasa oylamas\u0131 (2017) dahil, 10 y\u0131lda 6 defa sand\u0131\u011fa giden bir \u00fclke i\u00e7in yakalanan bu b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin,  \u00f6nemli bir sonu\u00e7 oldu\u011fu bile s\u00f6ylenebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2020\u2019nin pandemi ile ge\u00e7mesi sebebiyle b\u00fct\u00fcn yat\u0131r\u0131m ve \u00fcretim 2021\u2019e aktar\u0131ld\u0131. Ekonomi de bunun hakk\u0131n\u0131 vermi\u015f g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor. 2021 i\u00e7in pandemi sonras\u0131 gelen d\u00f6nem bak\u0131m\u0131ndan b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakamlar\u0131 ciddi bir at\u0131l\u0131m sergilendi\u011finin g\u00f6stergesidir. 2021 sene ba\u015f\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentileri %3-4 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda idi. Her \u00e7eyrek i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakamlar\u0131 ve ihracat verileri a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131k\u00e7a bu rakamlar teker teker revize edildi ve sonu\u00e7ta %11 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Akl\u0131m\u0131z hep bu rakamda kald\u0131.  2022 de b\u00f6yle olur mu derken ba\u015fka gaileler, yeniden ekonominin aya\u011f\u0131na dolanmaya ba\u015flad\u0131&#8230; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011findeki faiz indirimleri sonras\u0131 ya\u015fanan kur ata\u011f\u0131 ve artan d\u00f6vize ba\u011fl\u0131 <strong><span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">enflasyon<\/span><\/strong>, her ne kadar ekonomi i\u00e7in sars\u0131c\u0131 olmu\u015fsa da bug\u00fcnler de ge\u00e7ici olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclmelidir. Enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n da \u00f6zellikle petrol varil fiyat\u0131n\u0131n Nisan 2020\u2019de 16 dolar iken, 2021 ba\u015f\u0131nda 70 dolar ve bug\u00fcn 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, <strong>enerji ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131s\u0131<\/strong> \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in <strong>maliyet enflasyonu <\/strong>a\u011f\u0131r bask\u0131 olu\u015fturmaktad\u0131r. Haliyle bu durum b\u00fct\u00fcn fiyatlar\u0131 etkilemektedir. B\u00fct\u00fcn d\u00fcnyan\u0131n ve \u00f6zellikle yan\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131m\u0131zdaki Avrupa bazl\u0131 enflasyonun bizim i\u00e7in sonucu, <strong><em><span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">ithal edilen enflasyon<\/span><\/em><\/strong> olarak \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pandeminin en \u00e7ok vurdu\u011fu sekt\u00f6r olarak turizm de 2020\u2019de 12 milyar dolar ve 2021\u2019de 25 milyar dolarl\u0131k bir getiri sa\u011flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. 2022\u2019nin \u015fu g\u00fcnlerinde ya\u015fanan Ukrayna-Rusya sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n bar\u0131\u015f\u00e7\u0131 yollarla \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesi halinde bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in benzer bir turizm geliri beklentisi s\u00f6ylenebilir. Ancak 40 milyar dolarl\u0131k hesaplar ba\u015fka bahara ertelenmi\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcnmektedir. Bu rakamlar geli\u015fmenin ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7acakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2020 b\u00fct\u00fcn ekonomiler i\u00e7in bir hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 oldu. Bunun ivmesi 2021\u2019e daha fazla b\u00fcy\u00fcme olarak yans\u0131d\u0131. Haliyle 2020 yava\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n birikmi\u015f enerjisi ile hem ihracat\u0131n motivasyonu hem de t\u00fcketim y\u00f6nl\u00fc geli\u015fmelerle 2021\u2019de yakalanan mevcut b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi ortaya \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sekt\u00f6rlere bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, tar\u0131mda %2,16\u2019l\u0131k bir daralma var&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sanayi, \u00f6zellikle imalat sanayi \u00e7ok iyi;  % 17\u2019 lik bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme yakalanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.  Bunun tabii sonucu ihracat\u0131n tetiklenip \u00fclke b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine %5 kadar bir etki olu\u015fturmas\u0131 olmu\u015ftur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2021&#8217;de finans sekt\u00f6r\u00fc de k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. \u00d6zellikle faiz politikas\u0131 sonras\u0131, enflasyon ve kurdaki y\u00fckseli\u015f T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinde finans sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc belirli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yava\u015flatm\u0131\u015f oldu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0130n\u015faat, y\u0131llardan beridir devam eden gerilemeyi, 2021&#8217;de de ya\u015fad\u0131. \u0130n\u015faat yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 %8,5 gerilemi\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n artmas\u0131 emlak stoklar\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131nca bu sefer emlak de\u011ferleri y\u00fckselmektedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc \u00f6demeleri 2021&#8217;de milli gelirin %30\u2019u iken; 2021\u2019 in son \u00e7eyre\u011finde bu rakam %25&#8217;e kadar indi. Haliyle bu durum sermaye lehine bir geli\u015fmedir. Gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 bu konuda s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar verecektir. Bu da demektir ki <span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\"><em>b\u00fcy\u00fcme herkesi e\u015fit oranda b\u00fcy\u00fctm\u00fcyor.<\/em><\/span> \u00d6zellikle 2021&#8217;in son \u00e7eyrekteki kur ata\u011f\u0131, sermayenin pay\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">T\u00fcrkiye bu haliyle AB ve G20 i\u00e7inde 4 \u00e7eyrekte yakalad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi ile Kolombiya ve \u0130srail ile birlikte, en fazla b\u00fcy\u00fcyen \u00fc\u00e7 ekonomiden birisi olmu\u015ftur. Bu durumda ki\u015fisel milli gelir yeniden 10.000 dolara dayanm\u0131\u015f oldu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi 2021&#8217;de %11 b\u00fcy\u00fcy\u00fcnce, yedek kul\u00fcbesinde bekletilen as oyuncunun sahaya ini\u015fi kadar heyecana kap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131k. &#8220;Baz etkisi idi, pandemi s\u00fcrecindeki kapanmama idi, ge\u00e7ici idi.&#8221; s\u00f6ylemleri aras\u0131nda; 24 \u015eubat 2022 tarihinde, Rusya&#8217;n\u0131n Ukrayna&#8217;ya sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 ile ger\u00e7ek d\u00fcnyan\u0131n ac\u0131mas\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131na yeniden d\u00f6nd\u00fck. Yine de 2021 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi son 10 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakam\u0131 olarak kay\u0131tlara ge\u00e7ti. Bu zaman [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10856,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[533,921,205,111,479,1,454,478,711,922,933],"tags":[1094],"class_list":["post-10855","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-buyume","category-covid19","category-dis-ticaret","category-ekonomi","category-enflasyon","category-genel","category-insaat-konut","category-issizlik","category-kriz","category-pandemi","category-turizm","tag-rusya-ukrayna-savasi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10855","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10855"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10855\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10857,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10855\/revisions\/10857"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/10856"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10855"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10855"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10855"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}