{"id":11158,"date":"2025-04-06T19:28:43","date_gmt":"2025-04-06T19:28:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/?p=11158"},"modified":"2026-07-16T02:46:18","modified_gmt":"2026-07-16T02:46:18","slug":"11158-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/?p=11158","title":{"rendered":"\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcz D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm ve S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirlik"},"content":{"rendered":"<p align=\"JUSTIFY\">D\u00fcnyan\u0131n ekonomik ve sosyal \u00e7alkant\u0131lar\u0131na \u00e7evresel riskler de eklendi. Art\u0131k s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmler \u00fcretmek s\u00f6ylemden \u00f6teye ge\u00e7miyor. S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirlik bile s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir de\u011fil\u2026 Bug\u00fcn\u00fcn sorunlar\u0131 geleneksel modellerle \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclemez durumda. Etkisi, g\u00fcc\u00fc, sebebi sonucu \u00e7ok farkl\u0131 dalgalanmalar ya\u015fan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p align=\"JUSTIFY\">Hele b\u00fcy\u00fcme kavram\u0131 bir\u00a0<strong>\u201cmit\u201d<\/strong>\u2026 ill\u00e2 ki\u00a0<strong>b\u00fcy\u00fcmek<\/strong>\u00a0gerekli mi denmiyor. 1000 dolar ki\u015fisel geliri olan da 100.000 dolar ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na geliri olan da b\u00fcy\u00fcme derdinde\u2026 Bunun \u00e7ok farkl\u0131 \u00e7ok sistemik ve belirsiz sorunlar do\u011furmas\u0131 da s\u00f6z konusudur.<\/p>\n<p align=\"JUSTIFY\">Sanayile\u015fmi\u015f ve geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerin b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin altyap\u0131s\u0131 \u00fcretim, \u00fcretime dayal\u0131 geli\u015fmelerdir. Burada kullan\u0131lan hammadde ve enerji, \u00fcretim s\u00fcre\u00e7leri daha fazla sera gaz\u0131 sal\u0131n\u0131m\u0131na dayanmaktad\u0131r. Uzun y\u0131llar boyunca Kyoto Protokol\u00fc ile karbon emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 azaltma s\u00f6z\u00fc veren \u00fclkeler, ne yaz\u0131k ki bu konuda beklenen iyile\u015fmeleri ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirme konusunda \u00e7ekingen davranmaktad\u0131rlar.<\/p>\n<p align=\"JUSTIFY\">\u0130klim krizi, \u00e7evresel sorunlar her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn artan k\u00fcresel e\u015fitsizlikler, bitmeyen yoksulluk gibi toplumsal ve sosyal sorunlar d\u00fcnden bug\u00fcne bagajda ta\u015f\u0131nmaya devam ediyor. Buna bir de teknolojik rekabet, uyum ve dijital b\u00f6l\u00fcnmeler de eklendi\u011finde zorlan\u0131lan h\u0131zl\u0131 geli\u015fmeler bir kaos habercisine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p align=\"JUSTIFY\">\u015eimdi olay\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye taraf\u0131na bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda:\u00a0T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Avrupa Birli\u011fi ile d\u0131\u015f ticaret hacmi toplam ticaretin yar\u0131s\u0131 kadard\u0131r. Bunun da yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 otomotiv ve yedek par\u00e7alar\u0131 ile makine ekipman, demir \u00e7elik ve al\u00fcminyum gruplar\u0131 olu\u015fturmaktad\u0131r. Bu alanlarda yap\u0131lan \u00fcretim i\u00e7in belirli\u00a0<strong>karbon emisyonlar\u0131<\/strong>\u00a0artma e\u011filimindedir. \u201cO halde bizi nas\u0131l\u00a0<strong>bir gelecek<\/strong>\u00a0bekliyor?\u201d Sorusu ayn\u0131 zamanda biraz da endi\u015fe i\u00e7ermektedir.<\/p>\n<p align=\"JUSTIFY\">2020 sonras\u0131 iklim rejimini d\u00fczenleyen Paris Anla\u015fmas\u0131 devreye girmeden Kyoto Protokol\u00fc\u2019n\u00fc imzalamakta ayak direyen bir ABD vard\u0131. Pek \u00e7ok \u00fclkede\u00a0<strong><i>\u201cHey George Sign Kyoto\u201d<\/i><\/strong>\u00a0pankartlar\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131lanan ABD\u2019nin o d\u00f6nemki Ba\u015fkan\u0131 George W. Bush buna direnmi\u015fti. Maliyetler gerek\u00e7e g\u00f6sterilerek imzalanmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p align=\"JUSTIFY\">Asl\u0131nda geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerden itibaren \u00fclke bazl\u0131 bir de\u011ferlendirme yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, \u00e7evre ve s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirlik i\u00e7in temel birka\u00e7 nokta dikkat \u00e7ekicidir:<\/p>\n<p align=\"JUSTIFY\">\u00c7in, y\u00fcksek n\u00fcfusu, k\u00fcresel \u00fcretim hacmi ve en \u00f6nemlisi d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck sera gaz\u0131 yay\u0131c\u0131s\u0131 ve fosil yak\u0131t destek\u00e7isi durumundad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p align=\"JUSTIFY\">Rusya ve Arap \u00fclkeleri \u00f6zellikle fosil yak\u0131tlardan ekonomik gelir olu\u015fturan \u00fclkeler durumundad\u0131r. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n fark\u0131nda oldu\u011fu ve de\u011fi\u015ftirmek istedi\u011fi bu d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm, en \u00e7ok onlar\u0131 rahats\u0131z etmektedir.<\/p>\n<p align=\"JUSTIFY\">Almanya n\u00fcfusu ya\u015fl\u0131, diitalle\u015fmede yava\u015f ama geni\u015f \u00fcretim ve ihracat hacmi ve geli\u015fmi\u015flik d\u00fczeyi ile AB \u00fcye \u00fclkeleri aras\u0131nda en b\u00fcy\u00fck sera gaz\u0131 emisyonu ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiren teknolojik bir \u00fclkedir.<\/p>\n<p align=\"JUSTIFY\">Norve\u00e7, n\u00fcfusu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ama ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc bir \u015fekilde fosil yak\u0131t \u00fcretimine ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131, bug\u00fcnk\u00fc zenginli\u011fini de buna bor\u00e7lu bir ekonomik yap\u0131ya sahiptir. Elektrik \u00fcretiminin neredeyse tamam\u0131n\u0131, yenilenebilir enerji kaynaklar\u0131ndan kar\u015f\u0131lamaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p align=\"JUSTIFY\">Brezilya ise y\u00fcksek n\u00fcfusu, kendine has co\u011frafi \u00f6zellikleri ile yukar\u0131da bahsi ge\u00e7en \u00fc\u00e7 \u00fclkeden ayr\u0131\u015fmaktad\u0131r. Ekonomik yap\u0131s\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye benzeyen ve benzer ekonomik yap\u0131ya ve b\u00fcy\u00fcme oranlar\u0131na sahip bir \u00fclkedir.<\/p>\n<p align=\"JUSTIFY\">T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin de durumu 2030 hedefleri, 2053 hedefleri ile belirlenmeye ve planlanmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lmaktad\u0131r. Fosil yak\u0131tlar ve hammadde kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n kullan\u0131m\u0131 bak\u0131m\u0131ndan T\u00fcrkiye \u2018de fark\u0131ndal\u0131k olu\u015fmaya ba\u015flamakla birlikte, 1,5 santigrat derece \u0131s\u0131n\u0131n azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6nemli bir finansman gerektirmektedir. Bu konuda gidilecek daha \u00e7ok yol bulunmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p align=\"JUSTIFY\">Her bir sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn ayr\u0131 ayr\u0131 ye\u015fil b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye etkide bulunaca\u011f\u0131 temel ger\u00e7ekli\u011fi alt\u0131nda, ye\u015fil kamu politikalar\u0131, sekt\u00f6rel te\u015fvikler bu d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcn \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7abilir. Literat\u00fcrde ye\u015fil b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile ilgili \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalarda \u00e7o\u011funlukla karbon emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n baz al\u0131nmas\u0131ndan hareketle, di\u011fer emisyon kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n da g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilemeyecek etkisi literat\u00fcre kazand\u0131r\u0131larak karbon fiyatland\u0131rma ile beraber emisyon fiyatland\u0131rmas\u0131 \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131kmaktad\u0131r. B\u00f6ylece sadece hammadde, enerji ve \u00fcretim teknolojilerine ba\u011fl\u0131 ye\u015fil b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcz d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcme y\u00f6n verecektir. Sosyal kesimler ba\u015fta kad\u0131nlar ve \u00e7ocuk istihdam\u0131 ile ilgili \u015fartlar, sekt\u00f6rlerin adaptasyonu, \u00fcst y\u00f6netim motivasyonu ile teknik personel, sat\u0131n almadan ve muhasebeye kadar pek \u00e7ok ki\u015fi bu s\u00fcrecin bir par\u00e7as\u0131 haline gelecektir. Politikalar\u0131 ile ilgili gelecek \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar, ayr\u0131\u015fman\u0131n m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011funa ili\u015fkin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir arg\u00fcman sunacak, sekt\u00f6rel bazda spesifik politika tedbirleri olu\u015fturulacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p align=\"JUSTIFY\">ABD\u2019nin yeni y\u00f6netiminin kameralar \u00f6n\u00fcnde <span style=\"color: #3366ff;\"><strong>Paris \u0130klim Anla\u015fmas\u0131<\/strong><\/span>nda \u00e7ekildi\u011fine dair belgeyi imzalayarak g\u00f6revine ba\u015flamas\u0131, \u015fimdilik \u201cse\u00e7mene selam\u201d niteli\u011findedir. D\u00fcnya karbon emisyonlar\u0131, do\u011fal kaynaklar\u0131n korunmas\u0131, dijital d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm ve sosyal kesimlerin adil fayda yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nemsemek zorundad\u0131r. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda <span style=\"color: #339966;\"><strong>COP28 Dubai<\/strong><\/span> zirvesinde enine boyuna tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015f ve s\u00fcrecin <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcz D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm<\/strong><\/span> olarak s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesine karar verilmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p align=\"JUSTIFY\">T\u00fcrkiye 2026 y\u0131l\u0131ndan itibaren s\u0131n\u0131rda vergilendirme konusu ile muhatap olacakt\u0131r. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7lerde hi\u00e7bir firman\u0131n tek ba\u015f\u0131na sahiplerinin ya da y\u00f6neticilerinin veya teknik ve idari personelinin \u00e7\u00f6zebilece\u011fi bir durum s\u00f6z konusu de\u011fildir. Bu d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm bir k\u00fclt\u00fcrd\u00fcr. Toplumsal d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm de bunun bir par\u00e7as\u0131d\u0131r. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla ba\u015fta ticaret bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve finans sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn bu konudaki destekleri takip edilmelidir.\u00a0<span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>COP29<\/strong><\/span> Bak\u00fc toplant\u0131s\u0131nda bu ba\u015fl\u0131k \u00e7ok ciddi tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015f ve gerekli finansal destek sa\u011flanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00fcnyan\u0131n ekonomik ve sosyal \u00e7alkant\u0131lar\u0131na \u00e7evresel riskler de eklendi. Art\u0131k s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmler \u00fcretmek s\u00f6ylemden \u00f6teye ge\u00e7miyor. S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirlik bile s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir de\u011fil\u2026 Bug\u00fcn\u00fcn sorunlar\u0131 geleneksel modellerle \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclemez durumda. Etkisi, g\u00fcc\u00fc, sebebi sonucu \u00e7ok farkl\u0131 dalgalanmalar ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Hele b\u00fcy\u00fcme kavram\u0131 bir\u00a0\u201cmit\u201d\u2026 ill\u00e2 ki\u00a0b\u00fcy\u00fcmek\u00a0gerekli mi denmiyor. 1000 dolar ki\u015fisel geliri olan da 100.000 dolar ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na geliri olan da [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11412,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11158","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-genel"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11158","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=11158"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11158\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11161,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11158\/revisions\/11161"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/11412"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=11158"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=11158"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=11158"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}