G\u00fcvenlik yine g\u00fcndemin birinci s\u0131ras\u0131nda. Son d\u00f6nemde yap\u0131lan anketlerin hemen hepsinin ortak yan\u0131, \u00f6nceli\u011fin g\u00fcvenlik meselesine kaym\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131. \u0130\u015fsizlik gibi gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 gibi temel ekonomik meseleler bu anlamda g\u00fcndemin alt s\u0131ralar\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f durumda. G\u00fcvenlik b\u00fct\u00fcn ara\u015ft\u0131rmalarda a\u00e7\u0131k ara \u00f6ne ge\u00e7mi\u015f durumdad\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Maslow adl\u0131 \u00fcnl\u00fc psikolog, ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131n birinci basama\u011f\u0131na koydu\u011fu\u00a0 \u201cg\u00fcvenlik\u201d konusunu \u201cenlerin eni\u201d ve \u201c\u00f6nceliklisi\u201d olarak kabul eder. Can\u0131 tehdit alt\u0131ndayken ki\u015finin di\u011fer ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131na s\u0131ra gelmemektedir. Bu y\u00fczden insanlar, \u00fclkesindeki g\u00fcvensiz ortamdan ka\u00e7mak i\u00e7in a\u00e7 bi-ila\u00e7 kilometrelerce y\u00fcr\u00fcy\u00fcp T\u00fcrkiye s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na gelebilmektedir. Bu y\u00fczden gidilen hedef \u00fclkenin dengeleri var kabul edilir. Kimse kalk\u0131p bir dengesizlikten bir ba\u015fka dengesizli\u011fe ve belirsizli\u011fe s\u00fcr\u00fcklenmek istemez. Bu denge ve belirlilik i\u015faretlerinden birisi de ekonomidir.<\/p>\n
2015 bir \u015fekilde sona erdi. Zor bir y\u0131ld\u0131. Dolar\u0131n ate\u015finin y\u00fckseldi\u011fi, jeopolitik istikrars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n zirve yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve en nihayetinde \u00fclke i\u00e7inde de pek \u00e7ok de\u011fi\u015fkenin dengeleri etkileyebilece\u011fi bir y\u0131l\u0131 geride b\u0131rakt\u0131k. D\u0131\u015f ticaret verileri yeni a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. \u00dclkedeki ekonomik performans\u0131 g\u00f6stermesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan d\u0131\u015f ticaret \u00f6nemlidir. \u00dcretim fazlas\u0131 var demektir. \u00dcretti\u011fin makbul demek ki satabiliyorsun ve paran\u0131 tahsil edebiliyorsun demektir. \u0130hracat\u0131n \u00fcretilen ve sat\u0131lan mal ve sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden fazla yan sekt\u00f6rleri de vard\u0131r ki bunlar\u0131n geli\u015fmesi de b\u00fct\u00fcn bir ekonomi i\u00e7in \u00f6nemlidir. Finans sisteminden, resmi i\u015flemlerini y\u00fcr\u00fcten g\u00fcmr\u00fck\u00e7\u00fclere, ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131ktan depolamaya hatta y\u00fcklemeye; mal\u0131n korunmas\u0131 ile ilgili \u00f6zel s\u00fcre\u00e7lere kadar pek \u00e7ok sekt\u00f6r konuya dahildir.<\/p>\n
T\u00dc\u0130K verilerine g\u00f6re 2015 ihracat ve ithalat\u0131n birlikte darald\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir y\u0131l oldu. \u0130hracat 150 milyar dolar\u0131 a\u015ft\u0131 derken 143,9 milyar dolar olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. \u0130thalat\u0131n da 250 milyar dolar seviyelerinden 207,2 milyar dolara gerilemesi dikkat \u00e7ekicidir. Daha \u00f6nceki y\u0131llarda 100 milyar dolar d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 olarak belirlenen miktar 2015 verileri ile 63,3 milyar dolar olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir. Bu durumda ihracat\u0131n ithalat\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131 %69,5 olmu\u015ftur. D\u0131\u015f ticaretin h\u0131zlanmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u0131llarda ithalata ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 ihracat nedeniyle de olsa gerek bu oran %50 seviyelerine inmek \u00fczereydi.<\/p>\n
\u0130hracat\u0131n ithalat\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131n\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7te iki olarak g\u00f6rmek bir \u201cd\u00fczeltme\u201d olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. T\u00fcrkiye bu noktadan itibaren ihracat, dolay\u0131s\u0131yla \u00fcretim, sanayi ve Ar-Ge\u2019de bir d\u00fczeltme yaparak ekonomik dengelerini bu noktada tutabilmelidir.<\/p>\n
Enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f \u00fclkenin d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesinde etkili olmu\u015ftur. Bunun s\u00fcrekli b\u00f6yle olaca\u011f\u0131 beklenmemelidir. 2014 i\u00e7in enerji maliyeti 55 milyar dolar iken; 2015 verisi 38 milyar dolard\u0131r. Bug\u00fcnk\u00fc de\u011fer 30 dolar seviyesindeki petrol fiyat\u0131n\u0131n bir sonucudur. 2008 y\u0131l\u0131nda oldu\u011fu gibi petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n $140 seviyesine y\u00fckseldi\u011fi unutulmamal\u0131d\u0131r. Bunlar her ne kadar anl\u0131k ve k\u0131sa d\u00f6nemlerde b\u00f6yle olsa da o zirve noktas\u0131, bug\u00fcnk\u00fc de\u011ferin d\u00f6rt kat\u0131na yak\u0131nd\u0131r. Bu maliyet d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc ba\u015fka alanlarda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kabilecek ve kullan\u0131lmaya m\u00fcsait kaynak demektir. Ekonomi bunu de\u011ferlendirebilmelidir.<\/p>\n
Ekonominin g\u00fczel g\u00fcnleri i\u00e7in T\u00fcrkiye g\u00fcvenli\u011finin \u00f6n\u00fcndeki engellerden kurtulmal\u0131d\u0131r. \u00dclkenin belirli bir b\u00f6lgesinde sorun var demekle olmuyor. \u0130nsan\u0131n ac\u0131s\u0131 neredeyse can\u0131 oradad\u0131r\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
G\u00fcvenlik yine g\u00fcndemin birinci s\u0131ras\u0131nda. Son d\u00f6nemde yap\u0131lan anketlerin hemen hepsinin ortak yan\u0131, \u00f6nceli\u011fin g\u00fcvenlik meselesine kaym\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131. \u0130\u015fsizlik gibi gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 gibi temel ekonomik meseleler bu anlamda g\u00fcndemin alt s\u0131ralar\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f durumda. G\u00fcvenlik b\u00fct\u00fcn ara\u015ft\u0131rmalarda a\u00e7\u0131k ara \u00f6ne ge\u00e7mi\u015f durumdad\u0131r. Maslow adl\u0131 \u00fcnl\u00fc psikolog, ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131n birinci basama\u011f\u0131na koydu\u011fu\u00a0 \u201cg\u00fcvenlik\u201d konusunu \u201cenlerin eni\u201d ve \u201c\u00f6nceliklisi\u201d […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":8043,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[205,111,1,166],"tags":[209,208,206,210,207],"class_list":["post-8044","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dis-ticaret","category-ekonomi","category-genel","category-guncel","tag-209","tag-dis-ticaret","tag-enerji","tag-guvenlik","tag-maslow"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8044","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8044"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8044\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8118,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8044\/revisions\/8118"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/8043"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8044"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8044"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8044"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}