{"id":8355,"date":"2016-11-28T19:53:46","date_gmt":"2016-11-28T19:53:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/acarhoca.com\/?p=8355"},"modified":"2017-11-30T20:21:46","modified_gmt":"2017-11-30T20:21:46","slug":"turkiyenin-kur-ve-faiz-ile-imtihani","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/?p=8355","title":{"rendered":"T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin Kur ve Faiz ile \u0130mtihan\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Bir yanda s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131m\u0131zdaki <em><strong>g\u00fcvenlik<\/strong><\/em> sorunu, \u00f6te yandan <em><strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">faiz<\/span> <\/strong><\/em>ve<em><strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"> kur<\/span><\/strong><\/em>un ba\u015f\u0131 \u00e7ekti\u011fi ekonomik sava\u015f&#8230; i\u00e7eride s\u00fcr\u00fcp giden FET\u00d6 ile m\u00fccadele ve AB ile hassasiyetler i\u00e7eren gerilimli diyalog ortam\u0131, y\u00f6netimi g\u00fc\u00e7 bir \u00fclke haline geldi\u011fimizin g\u00f6stergesidir. Bu durum T\u00fcrkiye ve T\u00fcrk insan\u0131ndan kaynaklanan bir durum olmay\u0131p, i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fumuz co\u011frafyan\u0131n konumundan kaynaklanmaktad\u0131r. Yoksa d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en sakin \u00fclkelerinden Finlandiya veya \u0130zlanda halk\u0131n\u0131 da bu co\u011frafyaya, Anadolu topraklar\u0131na \u00a0yerle\u015ftirsek, bug\u00fcn bizim ya\u015fad\u0131klar\u0131m\u0131zdan \u00e7ok farkl\u0131 \u015feyler olmayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">T\u00fcrkiye, bu co\u011frafyay\u0131 mesken tutmu\u015f. ibn <b><i>Haldun&#8217;un<\/i><\/b>\u00a0&#8220;<span style=\"color: #993300;\"><strong>co\u011frafya kaderdir.<\/strong><\/span>&#8221; deyi\u015fine hayat vermi\u015f, Anadolu&#8217;yu mekan etmi\u015ftir. Art\u0131k kaderimizi ya\u015f\u0131yoruz. S\u0131n\u0131rlar olmasa, vatanda\u015f\u0131m\u0131z olacak insanlarla bir hududun iki taraf\u0131nda ya\u015f\u0131yoruz ve imparatorluk bakiyesi bu\u00a0<span style=\"color: #993300;\"><strong>co\u011frafya bizi \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131yor<\/strong><\/span>&#8230; Bu da ba\u015fka bir bedel mevzusu. Bu y\u00fczden g\u00fcvenlik ve g\u00fcvenlik\u00e7i politikalar hep masada olmaya devam edecektir.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Elbette \u00fclke a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan daralan ekonomi ve bu kadar tantanan\u0131n ortas\u0131nda olup da faizin olu\u015fturdu\u011fu ikilemi g\u00f6rmemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil. Elbette iktidar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, faizin d\u00fc\u015fmesi ekonomideki canlanma a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemlidir. Elbette t\u00fcketimi, dolay\u0131s\u0131yla t\u00fcketimle do\u011facak yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 art\u0131rmak, kolay bor\u00e7lanma imkan\u0131 ile m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Bu bak\u0131m\u0131ndan <em><strong>d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faiz<\/strong><\/em> \u00f6nem arz etmektedir.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u00d6b\u00fcr taraftan d\u00f6vizdeki yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketlenme, hem azalan d\u00f6viz giri\u015fi hem de d\u00f6viz \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131na i\u015faret etmektedir. Artan kur bir kere borcu olan i\u00e7in derttir, mal alan i\u00e7in derttir, finansman ihtiyac\u0131nda para piyasalar\u0131ndaki dalgalanmalar\u0131 y\u00fcksek faizle a\u015farken derttir. Bu durumda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmazd\u0131r, d\u00f6vizi i\u00e7eride tutman\u0131n ba\u015fka bilinen k\u0131sa yolu yoktur. Bunu sadece <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>faiz lobisi<\/strong><\/span> ile a\u00e7\u0131klamak da kolayc\u0131l\u0131k olacakt\u0131r. Ama etkisi de yok de\u011fildir. Ekonominin kendi kurallar\u0131, d\u00f6vizi frenlemek ad\u0131na <em><strong>\u201cd\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kur i\u00e7in y\u00fcksek faiz\u201d<\/strong> <\/em>kural\u0131n\u0131 i\u015fletmektedir.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Amerikan se\u00e7imlerinde kazanan taraf TRUMP\u2019\u0131n da harcamac\u0131 s\u00f6ylemleri, ABD&#8217;nin <strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">dolar<\/span><\/strong> ihtiyac\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelmektedir. Bir nev\u2019i yeni Keynes\u00e7ilik yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 olan geni\u015fletici politikalar, ABD i\u00e7in de i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fu krizden bir \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclmektedir. ABD\u2019nin altyap\u0131ya y\u00f6nelik harcama e\u011filimi ve sonras\u0131nda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak finansman ihtiyac\u0131 bunun g\u00f6stergesidir.<br \/>\n\u00dclkenin d\u00f6viz ihtiyac\u0131\/ a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 varsa, d\u00f6vize talep artm\u0131\u015f ve bir miktar da \u00fclkeden \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f g\u00f6zlemleniyorsa; ne kadar istenmeyen bir durum olsa da faiz silah\u0131n\u0131 kullanmak <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>\u201c\u015fart\u201d<\/strong><\/span> olmaktad\u0131r. Bu sayede TL faizinin artmas\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye d\u00f6viz giri\u015finin ba\u015flamas\u0131, d\u00f6viz \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n yava\u015flamas\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelecektir.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Aslolan, bu kaynaklar\u0131n \u00fcretken alanlarda kullan\u0131larak verimlili\u011fin ke\u015ffedilmesi ve \u00fcreten ekonomiye ge\u00e7i\u015fle ilgilidir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bir yanda s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131m\u0131zdaki g\u00fcvenlik sorunu, \u00f6te yandan faiz ve kurun ba\u015f\u0131 \u00e7ekti\u011fi ekonomik sava\u015f&#8230; i\u00e7eride s\u00fcr\u00fcp giden FET\u00d6 ile m\u00fccadele ve AB ile hassasiyetler i\u00e7eren gerilimli diyalog ortam\u0131, y\u00f6netimi g\u00fc\u00e7 bir \u00fclke haline geldi\u011fimizin g\u00f6stergesidir. Bu durum T\u00fcrkiye ve T\u00fcrk insan\u0131ndan kaynaklanan bir durum olmay\u0131p, i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fumuz co\u011frafyan\u0131n konumundan kaynaklanmaktad\u0131r. Yoksa d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en sakin \u00fclkelerinden [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[111,1,166],"tags":[417,419,225,418,413,416],"class_list":["post-8355","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-genel","category-guncel","tag-doviz","tag-ekonomik-savas","tag-faiz","tag-finansman","tag-keynes","tag-kur"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8355","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8355"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8355\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8367,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8355\/revisions\/8367"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8355"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8355"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8355"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}