{"id":8482,"date":"2017-03-29T10:00:12","date_gmt":"2017-03-29T10:00:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/acarhoca.com\/?p=8482"},"modified":"2017-04-08T09:05:38","modified_gmt":"2017-04-08T09:05:38","slug":"insaat-cukurundan-ekonomiye-can","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/?p=8482","title":{"rendered":"\u0130n\u015faat \u00c7ukurundan Ekonomiye \u201cCAN\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u0130n\u015faat<\/strong><\/span> sekt\u00f6r\u00fc 2017\u2019ye h\u0131zl\u0131 ba\u015flad\u0131. Gayr\u0131menkul sat\u0131\u015f\u0131nda al\u0131c\u0131 ve sat\u0131c\u0131dan al\u0131nan %3<\/span><\/strong> komisyon d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda, sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn her bir temsilcisi \u00fczerine d\u00fc\u015fen y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc yerine getirdi: Kredi musluklar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131, KDV d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc, binde 20<\/strong><\/span> olan tapu har\u00e7lar\u0131 binde 15\u2019e <\/strong>indirildi. Her\u015fey ekonominin bir in\u015faat \u00e7ukuruna g\u00f6m\u00fclmemesi i\u00e7in. Buradan \u00e7\u0131kmak i\u00e7in.<\/p>\n

Ekonomideki i\u015fler sadece dolar<\/strong>, d\u00f6viz<\/strong> ve faizmi\u015f<\/strong>\u00e7esine bizlere yans\u0131t\u0131lmakla beraber; ekonomi\u00a0 g\u00fcvenlik, siyaset, d\u0131\u015f politika gibi pek \u00e7ok fakt\u00f6r\u00fcn de yak\u0131ndan etkiledi\u011fi bir aland\u0131r. Hal b\u00f6yle olunca ekonomi sadece arz \u2013 talep ya da \u00fcretim t\u00fcketimle a\u00e7\u0131klamak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fildir. Bu y\u00fczden zaman zaman siyasetin ve d\u0131\u015f alemin de h\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 ya da yava\u015flat\u0131c\u0131 etkilerinin oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fclecektir. Konut sekt\u00f6r\u00fc de ekonomik hareketlili\u011fin ba\u015fat akt\u00f6rlerinden birisidir. Her at\u0131l\u0131m d\u00f6neminde konut sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn dinamizmi bu ama\u00e7 i\u00e7in harekete ge\u00e7irilmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n

\u00d6zellikle 1980 ihtilali sonras\u0131n\u0131n yeniden yap\u0131lanma d\u00f6neminin de imkanlar\u0131yla, 1980\u2019li y\u0131llar\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndan itibaren \u201ckooperatifler\u201d<\/strong> olu\u015fturulmu\u015ftur. Her bir b\u00f6lgede, \u00f6ncelikle meslek mensuplar\u0131n\u0131n kendi aralar\u0131nda kurdu\u011fu ve k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck birikimlerini de\u011ferlendirme arac\u0131 olan kooperatifler ayn\u0131 zamanda dar gelirli i\u00e7in de \u201cyuva<\/span><\/strong>\u201d sahibi olman\u0131n bir arac\u0131 haline gelmi\u015ftir. B\u00f6ylece daha b\u00fcy\u00fck at\u0131l\u0131mlar i\u00e7in hem sekt\u00f6r hem de birikimler harekete ge\u00e7irilmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de \u00f6zellikle 2000 krizi sonras\u0131 uygulanan ekonomi politikalar\u0131 yeni bir yap\u0131lanma ve at\u0131l\u0131m d\u00f6neminin ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131 olmu\u015ftur. Bu d\u00f6nemde, Milli Gelir art\u0131\u015f h\u0131zlar\u0131 ile konut sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn art\u0131\u015f h\u0131zlar\u0131ndan \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar elde etmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. Y\u0131ldan y\u0131la de\u011fi\u015fmekle beraber \u0130n\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki b\u00fcy\u00fcme Milli Gelirin hep \u00fcst\u00fcnde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir. Baz\u0131 y\u0131llarda milli gelirdeki b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi ikiye katlayacak \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde sekt\u00f6rde geli\u015fme g\u00f6zlenmi\u015ftir. Emlak<\/span><\/strong> al\u0131m sat\u0131m\u0131 konusunda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin hareketli dinamik n\u00fcfusu, gen\u00e7leri, yeni evlenenleri ile yat\u0131r\u0131m ve spek\u00fclasyon ama\u00e7l\u0131 da olsa konuta olan ilgisi her daim canl\u0131 ve diridir. Buna yabanc\u0131lar\u0131n da konut talebinin eklenmesi, \u00e7ar\u015f\u0131y\u0131 hareketlendirmi\u015ftir. \u00dcstelik potansiyel talep ve kentsel d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcn de \u00f6n\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131r. \u015eimdilik risk, d\u00f6viz kuru ve faizdeki art\u0131\u015f endi\u015fesidir. Bu da sekt\u00f6re do\u011frudan yans\u0131yacakt\u0131r. Referandum s\u00fcrecinin mevcut durumun korunaca\u011f\u0131na y\u00f6nelik beklentisi olumlu emareleri i\u00e7ermektedir. Piyasalar referandum sonras\u0131n\u0131 bir gerilim olarak alg\u0131lamamaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

\u0130n\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\"\"<\/a>\u00fcn milli gelir i\u00e7indeki pay\u0131 da d\u00fczenli olarak artmaktad\u0131r. 2000\u2019de milli gelirin %4,6\u2019s\u0131n\u0131 in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc olu\u015ftururken; 2010\u2019da %6\u2019ya ve 2015\u2019te %7,3\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. 2017\u2019de %8\u2019e yakla\u015fmas\u0131 beklenmektedir. Yakla\u015f\u0131k 28 milyonluk istihdam\u0131n %7\u2019si (2 milyon ki\u015fi) in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndedir.<\/p>\n

Son d\u00f6nemde \u00f6zellikle 2013 sonras\u0131 verilerine bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, d\u00f6rt y\u0131ll\u0131k veriler, konut \u00fcretim art\u0131\u015f\u0131na i\u015faret etmektedir. Ancak \u00fcretimin ayn\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde sat\u0131lmas\u0131 noktas\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar bulunmaktad\u0131r. \u00dcretim sat\u0131lamazsa bu durum stoklara yans\u0131makta, haliyle konut sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn stok durumundaki b\u00fcy\u00fcme de yeni konut \u00fcretimini engellemektedir. \u00a0Sonu\u00e7ta istihdam da etkilenecek, di\u011fer sekt\u00f6rler de bu yava\u015flama hatta gerilemeden pay\u0131n\u0131 alacakt\u0131r. Ekonomi elbette birbirinden ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z de\u011fildir.<\/p>\n

Rakamlara bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda son d\u00f6rt y\u0131l\u0131n yap\u0131 kullan\u0131m izin belge say\u0131s\u0131 3 milyon kadard\u0131r. Bunun 2,3 milyonu sat\u0131lm\u0131\u015f geriye kalan 700 bin stoktad\u0131r. Haliyle sekt\u00f6r \u00fcretime de devam etti\u011fi i\u00e7in her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn stoklar da mutlaka artma e\u011filimi g\u00f6sterecektir. Bu stoklar\u0131n bir \u015fekilde eritilmesi ve sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn yoluna devam edebilmesi \u00f6nemlidir. Bu rakamlar birinci el yap\u0131 kullan\u0131m belgeleri \u00fczerinden hesaplanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Y\u0131ll\u0131k sat\u0131\u015flar 150 bin kadar \u00fcretimin gerisindedir. Haliyle stoklar b\u00fcy\u00fcmektedir. \u015eu bir ger\u00e7ek ki s\u00f6z rakamlara geldi\u011finde in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde sapmalar fazla olabilmekte, ger\u00e7ek veriler i\u00e7in fiili tesbit rakamlar\u0131na ihtiya\u00e7 duyulmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Ancak bir ba\u015fka ilgi \u00e7ekici durum konut talebinin devam etmesi, hatta ihtiyac\u0131n stoklar\u0131n be\u015f kat \u00fcst\u00fcnde olmas\u0131d\u0131r. Her ne kadar 1+1 hatta st\u00fcdyo daire t\u00fcrlerinde bir yayg\u0131nla\u015fma s\u00f6zkonusu olsa da geli\u015fmeler, tam da kapitalizmin istedi\u011fi \u015fekilde devam etmektedir: “Kapitalizm bekarlar\u0131 sever!…<\/strong><\/em><\/span>”<\/p>\n

\u0130stihdam a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc 2 milyon ki\u015fi i\u00e7in ekmek kap\u0131s\u0131d\u0131r. Sekt\u00f6rde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n 190 bini \u00fcniversite mezunu olmakla beraber,\u00a0 yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ilkokul mezunu ve alt\u0131 d\u00fczeyde olmas\u0131 her grup e\u011fitim d\u00fczeyindeki ki\u015fiye i\u015f imkan\u0131 sa\u011flamas\u0131n\u0131n bir g\u00f6stergesidir. Bu y\u00fczden sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn yava\u015flamas\u0131 o kesimlerde ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck e\u011fitim gruplar\u0131ndaki ki\u015filerin i\u015fsizli\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da bir risk olu\u015fturacakt\u0131r. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck e\u011fitimli gruplar\u0131n istihdam\u0131 <\/strong><\/em><\/span>her zaman s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 do\u011furmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

\u015eimdi Emlak Konut \u00fczerinden \u201c0\u201d faiz ve 20 y\u0131ll\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faizli kredileri de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fimizde bir yanda sermaye sahibi gruplar\u0131n \u00fcretime devam etmesi ve projelerin geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc sa\u011flamas\u0131; \u00f6te yandan konut sahibi olmak isteyen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelirliler i\u00e7in bir imkan olmas\u0131 ve en \u00f6nemlisi ekonomik hareketlilik a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan son geli\u015fmeler da \u00f6zellikle her kesim i\u00e7in bir f\u0131rsat olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclmelidir. Bu ama\u00e7la\u00a0 \u201cG\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc T\u00fcrkiye \u0130\u00e7in Birlik Vakti\u201d slogan\u0131yla ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen bu hamle sekt\u00f6r\u00fc hem canland\u0131racak hem de nefes ald\u0131racakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Bununla beraber, 2016 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 30 milyar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kar ile kapatmas\u0131 beklenen bankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn, kardan fedakarl\u0131kta bulunarak bu s\u00fcrece katk\u0131 sa\u011flamas\u0131 gerekmektedir. Sadece \u015eubat ay\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri Emlak Konut GYO\u2019nun y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bug\u00fcn i\u00e7in, \u00a02000 konut sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00a02,5 milyar ciro ile\u00a0 bu sorunun \u00fcstesinden gelmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fildir.\u00a0 Sonu\u00e7ta Emlak Konut bir ayda satt\u0131\u011f\u0131 kadar konutu be\u015f g\u00fcnde satarak bu rakamlar\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. Ancak bunun devam ettirilmesi \u00f6zellikle stoklar\u0131n eritilmesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemlidir. Bankalar\u0131n da bu s\u00fcrece dahil olarak, uzun vadeli kredi imkanlar\u0131 ve proje sahiplerine yeni finansman imkanlar\u0131 sunarak s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirli\u011fi sa\u011flamas\u0131 gerekmektedir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u0130n\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc 2017\u2019ye h\u0131zl\u0131 ba\u015flad\u0131. Gayr\u0131menkul sat\u0131\u015f\u0131nda al\u0131c\u0131 ve sat\u0131c\u0131dan al\u0131nan %3 komisyon d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda, sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn her bir temsilcisi \u00fczerine d\u00fc\u015fen y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc yerine getirdi: Kredi musluklar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131, KDV d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc, binde 20 olan tapu har\u00e7lar\u0131 binde 15\u2019e indirildi. Her\u015fey ekonominin bir in\u015faat \u00e7ukuruna g\u00f6m\u00fclmemesi i\u00e7in. Buradan \u00e7\u0131kmak i\u00e7in. Ekonomideki i\u015fler sadece dolar, d\u00f6viz ve faizmi\u015f\u00e7esine bizlere yans\u0131t\u0131lmakla […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":8484,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[108,111,1,166,454],"tags":[456,455,457,458],"class_list":["post-8482","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-akademi","category-ekonomi","category-genel","category-guncel","category-insaat-konut","tag-emlak","tag-insaat","tag-konut","tag-toki"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8482","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8482"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8482\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8491,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8482\/revisions\/8491"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/8484"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8482"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8482"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8482"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}