{"id":8504,"date":"2017-05-28T13:48:25","date_gmt":"2017-05-28T13:48:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/acarhoca.com\/?p=8504"},"modified":"2026-08-10T07:58:31","modified_gmt":"2026-08-10T07:58:31","slug":"referandum-sonrasi-ekonomi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/?p=8504","title":{"rendered":"Referandum Sonras\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de Siyaset ve Ekonomi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>\u201cHer se\u00e7i\u015f, bir vazge\u00e7i\u015ftir.\u201d<\/strong><\/em> denir. 16 Nisan Pazar g\u00fcn\u00fc T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 h\u00fck\u00fcmet sistemine ge\u00e7ildi. Parlamenter demokrasi varken, sembolik bir temsil makam\u0131 olan Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131n\u0131n bu \u015fekilde varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 da ortadan kalkm\u0131\u015f oldu. Halk\u0131n oylar\u0131yla Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 se\u00e7ilmesi kabul edildikten sonra yeni durum, yetki ve sorumluluklar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n belirlenmesi olacakt\u0131. b\u00f6ylece onu da g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015f olduk.\u00a0TBMM s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinde MHP deste\u011fi ile halk oylamas\u0131na sunulan <strong>\u201cCumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 H\u00fck\u00fcmet Sistemi\u201d<\/strong>\u00a0T\u00fcrk tipi olarak sunulmas\u0131yla, beklentileri de y\u00fckseltmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p>Oylama tercihleri \u00a0kabinde <strong>\u201cgizli\u201d<\/strong>\u00a0olarak yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u0130radesini a\u00e7\u0131klamaya kimse zorlanamaz. Ancak bu se\u00e7imde di\u011fer se\u00e7imlerdeki karars\u0131z se\u00e7men yan\u0131na bir de <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>\u201cutanga\u00e7\u201d <span style=\"color: #000000;\">ve<\/span>\u00a0<span style=\"color: #800000;\">&#8220;\u00e7ekingen&#8221;<\/span>\u00a0 <\/strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">se\u00e7men\u00a0<\/span><\/span>eklenmi\u015ftir. sadece se\u00e7men cephesi de\u011fil, siyasi liderler de gruplar\u0131na tam hakimiyet sa\u011flayamam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Parti liderlerinin tercihlerinin, sand\u0131ktan \u00e7\u0131kan sonu\u00e7lara yans\u0131mad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir kere daha g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Bu sonucun daha \u00e7ok <strong>\u201cuzla\u015f\u0131\u201d<\/strong> ve <strong>i\u015fbirliklerinin<\/strong> \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131 da bir ger\u00e7ektir. Parti davran\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131, klik ya da hizip ve dar grup davran\u0131\u015f\u0131 olarak alg\u0131layanlar\u0131n siyaseti k\u0131s\u0131rla\u015ft\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 ve bu partilerin de eninde sonunda sand\u0131\u011fa g\u00f6m\u00fclece\u011fi ger\u00e7e\u011fi, bu referandumda <strong><em>herkes<\/em><\/strong>e bir mesaj olarak gitmi\u015ftir. Bu referandumun bir ba\u015fka a\u00e7\u0131dan daha galibi, yine <strong><em>halk<\/em><\/strong> olmu\u015ftur.<\/p>\n<p>Referandumun ilk g\u00fcnlerinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir kamuoyu deste\u011fi ile ba\u015flayan s\u00fcre\u00e7, %51,4 gibi bir sonu\u00e7la <strong>Evet<\/strong> lehinde tamamlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bundan sonra gerilim konular\u0131n\u0131n <strong>normalle\u015fmesi<\/strong>, demokratik alanlar\u0131n <strong>geli\u015ftirilmesi<\/strong> ve hukuk sisteminin etkin bir \u015fekilde <strong>i\u015fletilmesi<\/strong> sa\u011flanmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Ekonomiye gelince\u2026 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 2017 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini IMF, OECD ve\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.milliyet.com.tr\/dunya-bankasi\/\">D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131<\/a>\u00a0gibi kurulu\u015flar taraf\u0131ndan %2,5 &#8211; 2,8 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. \u00d6zellikle\u00a0 Merill Lynch ve kredi de\u011ferlendirme kurulu\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n \u201c<strong><em>olumsuz<\/em><\/strong>\u201d beklentilerinin aksine; ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan durum tahminlerin revize edilmesini do\u011furacakt\u0131r. Bu da ekonomideki istenmeyen beklentilerin<strong> tersine d\u00f6nmesini<\/strong> sa\u011flay\u0131p\u00a0yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir hareketi tetikleyecektir.<\/p>\n<p>B\u00fcy\u00fcmenin salt yurt i\u00e7ine bakan yan\u0131 yoktur. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin sahadaki oyuncu say\u0131s\u0131 artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fc, Kredi Garanti Fonu, T\u00fcrkiye Varl\u0131k Fonu beklentilerin yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc d\u00fczelmesinde etkili olacakt\u0131r. 2017 bu iyimserlikle b\u00fcy\u00fcmede %5\u2019i zorlayabilir. Faizler konusunda s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar devam etmektedir. Buradaki temel mesele, <strong><span style=\"color: #993300;\">ucuz ve s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir finansman<\/span><\/strong>a kavu\u015fmakt\u0131r. \u00d6ncelikle bankalar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faizli finansmana kavu\u015fmas\u0131, kredi maliyetlerini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrecektir. Kredi maliyetlerinin d\u00fc\u015fmesi \u00fcretim-istihdam ve talep ak\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 tetikleyerek, b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00fczerinde etkili olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Ekonominin temel g\u00fcvencesi <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>siyasi istikrar<\/strong><\/span>d\u0131r. Yasalar\u0131n bir yan\u0131 siyaseti d\u00fczenlerken; \u00f6b\u00fcr yan\u0131 ba\u015fta <strong>yenilik <\/strong>ve Ar-Ge olmak \u00fczere <strong>rekabet, nitelikli istihdam, e\u011fitim ve te\u015fvik <\/strong>alanlar\u0131n\u0131 geli\u015ftirebilmelidir. Elbette siyaset, bir an evvel referandum ile ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan fiili durumla, kendi mecras\u0131nda akabilmelidir. Uyum yasalar\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcratle TBMM\u2019den ge\u00e7mesi, siyasi iktidar\u0131n aya\u011f\u0131ndaki prangalardan kurtulmas\u0131 ve <strong><em>adil-h\u0131zl\u0131-etkin<\/em><\/strong> i\u015fleyen bir <strong>hukuk d\u00fczeni,\u00a0<\/strong>s\u00fcreci beklenenin \u00e7ok \u00fcst\u00fcnde geli\u015ftirecektir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cHer se\u00e7i\u015f, bir vazge\u00e7i\u015ftir.\u201d denir. 16 Nisan Pazar g\u00fcn\u00fc T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 h\u00fck\u00fcmet sistemine ge\u00e7ildi. Parlamenter demokrasi varken, sembolik bir temsil makam\u0131 olan Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131n\u0131n bu \u015fekilde varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 da ortadan kalkm\u0131\u015f oldu. Halk\u0131n oylar\u0131yla Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 se\u00e7ilmesi kabul edildikten sonra yeni durum, yetki ve sorumluluklar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n belirlenmesi olacakt\u0131. b\u00f6ylece onu da g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015f olduk.\u00a0TBMM s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinde MHP deste\u011fi ile [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11424,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[108,445,111,1,166,472,125],"tags":[432,371,471,225,473,474,470],"class_list":["post-8504","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-akademi","category-anayasa","category-ekonomi","category-genel","category-guncel","category-referandum","category-siyaset","tag-432","tag-adalet","tag-cumhurbaskanligi-hukumet-sistemi","tag-faiz","tag-hukuk-duzeni","tag-ozgurluk","tag-referandum"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8504","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8504"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8504\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8516,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8504\/revisions\/8516"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/11424"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8504"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8504"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/acarhoca.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8504"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}